Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 11 October 2026 17:30 · Final score 3-2. Our prediction: Rio Ave win (43%) · odds 2.30. Most likely pick Under 3.5 73% (odds ~1.31). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Rio Ave 1.51 – 1.15 Nacional
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 10%2-1 9%2-0 8%0-0 8%
Rio Ave vs Nacional head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Rio Ave 4 wins, 3 draws, Nacional 1 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Nacional | 3-2 | Rio Ave won |
| 2026-01-25 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Rio Ave | 4-0 | Nacional won |
| 2025-08-17 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Nacional | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-05-10 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Rio Ave | 3-3 | Draw |
| 2024-12-29 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Nacional | 2-1 | Rio Ave won |
| 2021-05-19 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Rio Ave | 1-2 | Rio Ave won |
| 2021-02-05 | Primeira Liga | Rio Ave – Nacional | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2019-03-17 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Rio Ave | 0-1 | Rio Ave won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.12 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| Bet&Win | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.10 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rio Ave vs Nacional?
Our model gives rio ave win a 43% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Expected goals Rio Ave 1.51 – 1.15 Nacional.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 49%, under 51%. Over 1.5 73%, over 3.5 27%.
What is the Rio Ave vs Nacional head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Rio Ave won 4, Nacional won 1 and 3 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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