Arouca vs Estrela Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 11 October 2026 22:30 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Arouca win (42%) · odds 2.20. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.32). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arouca 1.54 – 1.25 Estrela
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 9%1-0 9%1-2 7%2-0 7%
Arouca vs Estrela head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Arouca 4 wins, 1 draws, Estrela 2 wins. 2.14 goals per game, both teams scored in 43%, over 2.5 in 43%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Estrela | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2026-04-19 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Estrela | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2025-12-07 | Primeira Liga | Estrela – Arouca | 3-1 | Estrela won |
| 2025-04-19 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Estrela | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2024-12-09 | Primeira Liga | Estrela – Arouca | 2-1 | Estrela won |
| 2024-05-05 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Estrela | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2023-12-28 | Primeira Liga | Estrela – Arouca | 1-4 | Arouca won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.12 | 3.35 | 2.76 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Bet&Win | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.20 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arouca vs Estrela?
Our model gives arouca win a 42% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Expected goals Arouca 1.54 – 1.25 Estrela.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 30%.
What is the Arouca vs Estrela head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings Arouca won 4, Estrela won 2 and 1 were drawn, with 2.14 goals per game and both teams scoring in 43% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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