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Man City vs Newcastle Prediction & Odds

Premier League · 21 February 2026 23:00 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Man City win (68%) · odds 1.51. Most likely pick Over 1.5 88% (odds ~1.15). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Man City68% 1.51
Draw17% 5.30
Newcastle15% 6.40

Both teams to score

BTTS yes63% ~1.65
BTTS no37% ~2.55

Total goals (over)

Over 1.588% ~1.15
Over 2.567% 1.46
Over 3.547% ~2.15

Expected goals: Man City 2.42 – 1.05 Newcastle

Most likely scorelines

2-1 10%2-0 9%1-1 8%3-1 8%3-0 7%

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Man City vs Newcastle head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Man City 5 wins, 2 draws, Newcastle 1 wins. 3.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-02-21Premier LeagueMan City – Newcastle2-1Man City won
2025-11-22Premier LeagueNewcastle – Man City2-1Newcastle won
2025-02-15Premier LeagueMan City – Newcastle4-0Man City won
2024-09-28Premier LeagueNewcastle – Man City1-1Draw
2024-01-13Premier LeagueNewcastle – Man City2-3Man City won
2023-08-19Premier LeagueMan City – Newcastle1-0Man City won
2023-03-04Premier LeagueMan City – Newcastle2-0Man City won
2022-08-21Premier LeagueNewcastle – Man City3-3Draw

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.515.306.401.463.05
Bet3651.455.005.501.442.75
Bet&Win1.475.005.50——
BetVictor1.455.006.00——
Betfred1.445.006.00——
Ladbrokes1.485.005.50——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Man City

11.07 DNott'm Forest3-1 M
10.31 EBrighton0-1 M
10.24 DAston Villa2-1 M
10.17 EIpswich3-2 G
10.11 DLiverpool0-3 G

Newcastle

11.07 DFulham1-1 B
11.02 EEverton0-1 M
10.25 DCrystal Palace0-2 G
10.17 EAston Villa0-1 M
10.12 DCoventry4-1 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Man City vs Newcastle?

Our model gives man city win a 68% chance; the draw is 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 63%. Expected goals Man City 2.42 – 1.05 Newcastle.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 67%, under 33%. Over 1.5 88%, over 3.5 47%.

What is the Man City vs Newcastle head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Man City won 5, Newcastle won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 3.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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