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Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction & Odds

Premier League · 21 February 2026 18:00 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Aston Villa win (52%) · odds 1.90. Most likely pick Over 1.5 78% (odds ~1.30). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Aston Villa52% 1.90
Draw27% 3.80
Leeds21% 4.70

Both teams to score

BTTS yes56% ~1.87
BTTS no44% ~2.15

Total goals (over)

Over 1.578% ~1.30
Over 2.553% 1.88
Over 3.529% ~3.35

Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.74 – 1.05 Leeds

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12%1-0 10%2-1 10%2-0 9%0-0 7%

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Aston Villa vs Leeds head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Aston Villa 4 wins, 3 draws, Leeds 1 wins. 2.62 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 62%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-02-21Premier LeagueAston Villa – Leeds1-1Draw
2025-11-23Premier LeagueLeeds – Aston Villa1-2Aston Villa won
2023-01-13Premier LeagueAston Villa – Leeds2-1Aston Villa won
2022-10-02Premier LeagueLeeds – Aston Villa0-0Draw
2022-03-10Premier LeagueLeeds – Aston Villa0-3Aston Villa won
2022-02-09Premier LeagueAston Villa – Leeds3-3Draw
2021-02-27Premier LeagueLeeds – Aston Villa0-1Aston Villa won
2020-10-23Premier LeagueAston Villa – Leeds0-3Leeds won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.893.804.701.882.08
Bet3651.853.604.331.832.03
Bet&Win1.873.604.00——
BetVictor1.833.704.20——
Betfred1.903.754.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Aston Villa

11.08 DMan United4-4 B
10.31 EFulham1-1 B
10.24 EMan City2-1 G
10.17 DNewcastle0-1 G
10.10 EBrentford2-2 B

Leeds

11.07 ETottenham1-0 G
10.31 DBournemouth2-0 M
10.25 DSunderland0-0 B
10.18 EMan United1-1 B
10.10 DArsenal2-1 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aston Villa vs Leeds?

Our model gives aston villa win a 52% chance; the draw is 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Expected goals Aston Villa 1.74 – 1.05 Leeds.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 78%, over 3.5 29%.

What is the Aston Villa vs Leeds head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Aston Villa won 4, Leeds won 1 and 3 were drawn, with 2.62 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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