RB Leipzig vs Dortmund Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 21 February 2026 20:30 · Final score 2-2. Our prediction: RB Leipzig win (46%) · odds 2.26. Most likely pick Over 1.5 88% (odds ~1.16). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.97 – 1.58 Dortmund
Most likely scorelines
1-1 9%2-1 9%1-2 7%2-2 7%3-1 6%
RB Leipzig vs Dortmund head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: RB Leipzig 4 wins, 2 draws, Dortmund 2 wins. 3.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig – Dortmund | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-10-04 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – RB Leipzig | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig – Dortmund | 2-0 | RB Leipzig won |
| 2024-11-02 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – RB Leipzig | 2-1 | Dortmund won |
| 2024-04-27 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig – Dortmund | 4-1 | RB Leipzig won |
| 2023-12-09 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – RB Leipzig | 2-3 | RB Leipzig won |
| 2023-03-03 | Bundesliga | Dortmund – RB Leipzig | 2-1 | Dortmund won |
| 2022-09-10 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig – Dortmund | 3-0 | RB Leipzig won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.26 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.48 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| Bet&Win | 2.10 | 4.00 | 3.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.75 | 2.80 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.20 | 4.00 | 2.80 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Dortmund?
Our model gives rb leipzig win a 46% chance; the draw is 25%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 70%. Expected goals RB Leipzig 1.97 – 1.58 Dortmund.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 69%, under 31%. Over 1.5 88%, over 3.5 46%.
What is the RB Leipzig vs Dortmund head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings RB Leipzig won 4, Dortmund won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 3.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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