Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 21 February 2026 18:00 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Chelsea win (83%) · odds 1.23. Most likely pick Over 1.5 86% (odds ~1.16). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Chelsea 2.83 – 0.61 Burnley
Most likely scorelines
2-0 13%3-0 12%1-0 9%4-0 9%2-1 8%
Chelsea vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Chelsea 5 wins, 3 draws, Burnley 0 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Premier League | Chelsea – Burnley | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-11-22 | Premier League | Burnley – Chelsea | 0-2 | Chelsea won |
| 2024-03-30 | Premier League | Chelsea – Burnley | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2023-10-07 | Premier League | Burnley – Chelsea | 1-4 | Chelsea won |
| 2022-03-05 | Premier League | Burnley – Chelsea | 0-4 | Chelsea won |
| 2021-11-06 | Premier League | Chelsea – Burnley | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2021-01-31 | Premier League | Chelsea – Burnley | 2-0 | Chelsea won |
| 2020-10-31 | Premier League | Burnley – Chelsea | 0-3 | Chelsea won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.23 | 7.60 | 15.50 | 1.47 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 6.50 | 12.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| Bet&Win | 1.23 | 7.00 | 11.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.00 | 15.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.22 | 6.50 | 13.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Burnley?
Our model gives chelsea win a 83% chance; the draw is 11%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 52%. Expected goals Chelsea 2.83 – 0.61 Burnley.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 67%, under 33%. Over 1.5 86%, over 3.5 47%.
What is the Chelsea vs Burnley head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Chelsea won 5, Burnley won 0 and 3 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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