Football Predictions for Wednesday, 4 March 2026
Predictions for all 15 matches on 4 March 2026: match result, both teams to score and over/under 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 goals, the most likely pick per game, bookmaker odds and the accumulator of the day. 6 picks sit at 80% probability or above. The model learns from 78,000+ historical matches; every prediction is recorded before kick-off and scored against real results.
Accumulator of the day · 80%+ probability
| Match | Pick | Probability | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone – Pescara Serie B 22:00 | Over 1.5 | 86% | ~1.17 | ✓ |
| Aberdeen – Celtic Premiership 23:00 | Over 1.5 | 85% | ~1.19 | ✓ |
| Newcastle – Man United Premier League 23:15 | Over 1.5 | 84% | ~1.19 | ✓ |
| Juve Stabia – Sampdoria Serie B 22:00 | Under 3.5 | 83% | ~1.21 | ✓ |
| Aston Villa – Chelsea Premier League 22:30 | Over 1.5 | 81% | ~1.25 | ✓ |
| Man City – Nott'm Forest Premier League 22:30 | Over 1.5 | 81% | ~1.21 | ✓ |
The three most likely picks together have roughly a 61% chance of all landing. More legs = lower chance. In the app you can tick, tap "I played it" and follow it live.
Super League Greece 2
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Most likely pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Panathinaikos – OFI Crete | 72% | 19% | 9% | Over 1.5 · 75% | ~1.32 | 4-1 ✓ |
| 21:00 | Kifisia – PAOK | 13% | 18% | 68% | Over 1.5 · 75% | ~1.33 | 1-4 ✓ |
Serie B 5
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Most likely pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Carrarese – Catanzaro | 40% | 31% | 29% | Under 3.5 · 78% | ~1.30 | 3-3 ✗ |
| 22:00 | Bari – Empoli | 31% | 29% | 40% | Under 3.5 · 75% | ~1.32 | 2-1 ✓ |
| 22:00 | Frosinone – Pescara | 64% | 20% | 17% | Over 1.5 · 86% | ~1.17 | 2-2 ✓ |
| 22:00 | Juve Stabia – Sampdoria | 38% | 34% | 28% | Under 3.5 · 83% | ~1.21 | 1-1 ✓ |
| 22:00 | Palermo – Mantova | 62% | 23% | 15% | Over 1.5 · 78% | ~1.28 | 2-1 ✓ |
La Liga 1
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Most likely pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | Vallecano – Oviedo | 57% | 26% | 18% | Under 3.5 · 78% | ~1.30 | 3-0 ✓ |
Bundesliga 1
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Most likely pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Hamburg – Leverkusen | 26% | 26% | 48% | Over 1.5 · 80% | ~1.26 | 0-1 ✗ |
Premier League 5
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Most likely pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:30 | Aston Villa – Chelsea | 35% | 27% | 39% | Over 1.5 · 81% | ~1.25 | 1-4 ✓ |
| 22:30 | Brighton – Arsenal | 18% | 21% | 61% | Under 3.5 · 73% | ~1.38 | 0-1 ✓ |
| 22:30 | Fulham – West Ham | 46% | 27% | 27% | Over 1.5 · 79% | ~1.27 | 0-1 ✗ |
| 22:30 | Man City – Nott'm Forest | 71% | 17% | 11% | Over 1.5 · 81% | ~1.21 | 2-2 ✓ |
| 23:15 | Newcastle – Man United | 35% | 29% | 36% | Over 1.5 · 84% | ~1.19 | 2-1 ✓ |
Premiership 1
| Time | Match | 1 | X | 2 | Most likely pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | Aberdeen – Celtic | 16% | 19% | 65% | Over 1.5 · 85% | ~1.19 | 1-2 ✓ |
How to read this
The 1 / X / 2 columns are our probabilities. "Most likely pick" is the highest-probability selection across all markets (match result, both teams to score, over/under 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5); the odds are the best price we found (a ~ means no bookmaker prices that market, so it is the fair odds implied by the market). Open a match for the reasoning, likely scorelines and every bookmaker's odds.
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