Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 4 March 2026 22:30 · Final score 1-4. Our prediction: Chelsea win (39%) · odds 2.62. Most likely pick Over 1.5 81% (odds ~1.25). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.46 – 1.55 Chelsea
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-2 9%2-1 8%0-1 7%1-0 7%
Aston Villa vs Chelsea head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Aston Villa 4 wins, 1 draws, Chelsea 3 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Chelsea | 1-4 | Chelsea won |
| 2025-12-27 | Premier League | Chelsea – Aston Villa | 1-2 | Aston Villa won |
| 2025-02-22 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Chelsea | 2-1 | Aston Villa won |
| 2024-12-01 | Premier League | Chelsea – Aston Villa | 3-0 | Chelsea won |
| 2024-04-27 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Chelsea | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2023-09-24 | Premier League | Chelsea – Aston Villa | 0-1 | Aston Villa won |
| 2023-04-01 | Premier League | Chelsea – Aston Villa | 0-2 | Aston Villa won |
| 2022-10-16 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Chelsea | 0-2 | Chelsea won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.84 | 3.65 | 2.62 | 1.75 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Bet&Win | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Aston Villa vs Chelsea?
Our model gives chelsea win a 39% chance; the draw is 27%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 61%. Expected goals Aston Villa 1.46 – 1.55 Chelsea.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 58%, under 42%. Over 1.5 81%, over 3.5 33%.
What is the Aston Villa vs Chelsea head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Aston Villa won 4, Chelsea won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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