Newcastle vs Man United Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 4 March 2026 23:15 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Man United win (36%) · odds 2.66. Most likely pick Over 1.5 84% (odds ~1.19). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.59 – 1.6 Man United
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%1-2 8%2-1 8%2-2 7%0-1 6%
Newcastle vs Man United head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Newcastle 5 wins, 1 draws, Man United 2 wins. 2.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Premier League | Newcastle – Man United | 2-1 | Newcastle won |
| 2025-12-26 | Premier League | Man United – Newcastle | 1-0 | Man United won |
| 2025-04-13 | Premier League | Newcastle – Man United | 4-1 | Newcastle won |
| 2024-12-30 | Premier League | Man United – Newcastle | 0-2 | Newcastle won |
| 2024-05-15 | Premier League | Man United – Newcastle | 3-2 | Man United won |
| 2023-12-02 | Premier League | Newcastle – Man United | 1-0 | Newcastle won |
| 2023-04-02 | Premier League | Newcastle – Man United | 2-0 | Newcastle won |
| 2022-10-16 | Premier League | Man United – Newcastle | 0-0 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.72 | 3.80 | 2.66 | 1.57 | 2.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| Bet&Win | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.55 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.50 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Man United?
Our model gives man united win a 36% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 67%. Expected goals Newcastle 1.59 – 1.6 Man United.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 62%, under 38%. Over 1.5 84%, over 3.5 39%.
What is the Newcastle vs Man United head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Newcastle won 5, Man United won 2 and 1 were drawn, with 2.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Premier League matches on 4 March 2026
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- Brighton – Arsenal Under 3.5 %73
- Fulham – West Ham Over 1.5 %79
- Man City – Nott'm Forest Over 1.5 %81
- Newcastle – Man United Over 1.5 %84
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More
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