Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 21 February 2026 18:30 · Final score 3-0. Our prediction: Arouca win (40%) · odds 2.42. Most likely pick Over 1.5 74% (odds ~1.33). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arouca 1.42 – 1.21 Nacional
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 10%2-1 9%0-1 8%0-0 8%
Arouca vs Nacional head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Arouca 7 wins, 1 draws, Nacional 0 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Nacional | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2026-02-21 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Nacional | 3-0 | Arouca won |
| 2025-09-20 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Arouca | 1-2 | Arouca won |
| 2025-02-01 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Arouca | 1-2 | Arouca won |
| 2024-08-25 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Nacional | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2017-01-28 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Arouca | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2016-08-21 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Nacional | 2-0 | Arouca won |
| 2016-05-01 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Nacional | 3-0 | Arouca won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.42 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 1.96 | 1.92 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Bet&Win | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.88 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.90 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arouca vs Nacional?
Our model gives arouca win a 40% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 55%. Expected goals Arouca 1.42 – 1.21 Nacional.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 49%, under 51%. Over 1.5 74%, over 3.5 27%.
What is the Arouca vs Nacional head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Arouca won 7, Nacional won 0 and 1 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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- Sp Braga – Guimaraes Over 1.5 %75
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More
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