Watford vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 21 February 2026 18:00 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Watford win (45%) · odds 2.30. Most likely pick Under 3.5 78% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Watford 1.43 – 1.02 Derby
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 12%0-0 9%2-1 9%2-0 9%
Watford vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Watford 6 wins, 1 draws, Derby 1 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 2-0 | Watford won |
| 2025-11-22 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 2-3 | Watford won |
| 2025-01-18 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 0-2 | Watford won |
| 2024-08-24 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 2-1 | Watford won |
| 2021-02-19 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 2-1 | Watford won |
| 2020-10-16 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 0-1 | Watford won |
| 2015-04-03 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2014-11-22 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 1-2 | Derby won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.24 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| Bet&Win | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.25 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.25 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Watford vs Derby?
Our model gives watford win a 45% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Watford 1.43 – 1.02 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 44%, under 56%. Over 1.5 71%, over 3.5 22%.
What is the Watford vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Watford won 6, Derby won 1 and 1 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Watford predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 21 February 2026
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