Sassuolo vs Milan Prediction & Odds
Serie A · 11 October 2026 19:00 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Milan win (58%) · odds 1.89. Most likely pick Over 1.5 82% (odds ~1.27). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.07 – 2.05 Milan
Most likely scorelines
1-1 10%1-2 10%0-2 9%0-1 9%1-3 7%
Sassuolo vs Milan head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Sassuolo 2 wins, 4 draws, Milan 2 wins. 3.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Serie A | Sassuolo – Milan | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-05-03 | Serie A | Sassuolo – Milan | 2-0 | Sassuolo won |
| 2025-12-14 | Serie A | Milan – Sassuolo | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2024-04-14 | Serie A | Sassuolo – Milan | 3-3 | Draw |
| 2023-12-30 | Serie A | Milan – Sassuolo | 1-0 | Milan won |
| 2023-01-29 | Serie A | Milan – Sassuolo | 2-5 | Sassuolo won |
| 2022-08-30 | Serie A | Sassuolo – Milan | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2022-05-22 | Serie A | Sassuolo – Milan | 0-3 | Milan won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 4.50 | 3.95 | 1.89 | 1.79 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Bet&Win | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.80 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Betfred | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.83 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 4.00 | 3.70 | 1.80 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.80 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sassuolo vs Milan?
Our model gives milan win a 58% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Expected goals Sassuolo 1.07 – 2.05 Milan.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 60%, under 40%. Over 1.5 82%, over 3.5 36%.
What is the Sassuolo vs Milan head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Sassuolo won 2, Milan won 2 and 4 were drawn, with 3.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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