Mainz vs Leverkusen Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 10 October 2026 16:30 · Final score 3-4. Our prediction: Leverkusen win (48%) · odds 2.26. Most likely pick Over 1.5 84% (odds ~1.15). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Mainz 1.34 – 1.93 Leverkusen
Most likely scorelines
1-1 10%1-2 9%0-2 7%0-1 7%2-1 7%
Mainz vs Leverkusen head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Mainz 1 wins, 2 draws, Leverkusen 5 wins. 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Leverkusen | 3-4 | Leverkusen won |
| 2026-02-28 | Bundesliga | Leverkusen – Mainz | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-10-18 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Leverkusen | 3-4 | Leverkusen won |
| 2025-05-17 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Leverkusen | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-01-14 | Bundesliga | Leverkusen – Mainz | 1-0 | Leverkusen won |
| 2024-02-23 | Bundesliga | Leverkusen – Mainz | 2-1 | Leverkusen won |
| 2023-09-30 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Leverkusen | 0-3 | Leverkusen won |
| 2023-02-19 | Bundesliga | Leverkusen – Mainz | 2-3 | Mainz won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 3.10 | 4.10 | 2.26 | 1.49 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| Bet&Win | 2.87 | 3.90 | 2.20 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.88 | 4.00 | 2.20 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.15 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.15 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mainz vs Leverkusen?
Our model gives leverkusen win a 48% chance; the draw is 28%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 66%. Expected goals Mainz 1.34 – 1.93 Leverkusen.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 64%, under 36%. Over 1.5 84%, over 3.5 41%.
What is the Mainz vs Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Mainz won 1, Leverkusen won 5 and 2 were drawn, with 4.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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