Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Odds
La Liga · 10 October 2026 22:00 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Real Madrid win (73%) · odds 1.40. Most likely pick Over 1.5 92% (odds ~1.09). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Real Madrid 2.93 – 1.16 Villarreal
Most likely scorelines
2-1 8%3-1 8%2-0 7%3-0 7%1-1 6%
Real Madrid vs Villarreal head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Real Madrid 6 wins, 1 draws, Villarreal 1 wins. 3.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Villarreal | 1-0 | Real Madrid won |
| 2026-01-24 | La Liga | Villarreal – Real Madrid | 0-2 | Real Madrid won |
| 2025-10-04 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Villarreal | 3-1 | Real Madrid won |
| 2025-03-15 | La Liga | Villarreal – Real Madrid | 1-2 | Real Madrid won |
| 2024-10-05 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Villarreal | 2-0 | Real Madrid won |
| 2024-05-19 | La Liga | Villarreal – Real Madrid | 4-4 | Draw |
| 2023-12-17 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Villarreal | 4-1 | Real Madrid won |
| 2023-04-08 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Villarreal | 2-3 | Villarreal won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.38 | 6.20 | 8.00 | 1.31 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 6.00 | 6.25 | 1.29 | 3.75 |
| Bet&Win | 1.38 | 5.50 | 6.50 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.50 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.00 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 1.33 | 5.75 | 7.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Our model gives real madrid win a 73% chance; the draw is 16%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 66%. Expected goals Real Madrid 2.93 – 1.16 Villarreal.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 78%, under 22%. Over 1.5 92%, over 3.5 54%.
What is the Real Madrid vs Villarreal head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Real Madrid won 6, Villarreal won 1 and 1 were drawn, with 3.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other La Liga matches on 10 October 2026
- Alaves – Ath Madrid Under 3.5 %75
- Barcelona – Getafe Over 1.5 %92
- Real Madrid – Villarreal Over 1.5 %92
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More
- Real Madrid predictions and form
- Villarreal predictions and form
- La Liga predictions and table
- All predictions for 10 October 2026
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