Porto vs Benfica Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 20 September 2026 22:30 · Final score 3-1. Our prediction: Benfica win (39%) · odds 2.68. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.31). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Porto 1.28 – 1.5 Benfica
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-2 9%0-1 9%2-1 8%1-0 7%
Porto vs Benfica head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Porto 3 wins, 2 draws, Benfica 3 wins. 3.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Benfica | 3-1 | Porto won |
| 2026-03-08 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Porto | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-10-05 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Benfica | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2025-04-06 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Benfica | 1-4 | Benfica won |
| 2024-11-10 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Porto | 4-1 | Benfica won |
| 2024-03-03 | Primeira Liga | Porto – Benfica | 5-0 | Porto won |
| 2023-09-29 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Porto | 1-0 | Benfica won |
| 2023-04-07 | Primeira Liga | Benfica – Porto | 1-2 | Porto won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.68 | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| Bet&Win | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.45 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Porto vs Benfica?
Our model gives benfica win a 39% chance; the draw is 31%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Expected goals Porto 1.28 – 1.5 Benfica.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Porto vs Benfica head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Porto won 3, Benfica won 3 and 2 were drawn, with 3.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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