Marseille vs Paris SG Prediction & Odds
Ligue 1 · 20 September 2026 21:45 · Final score 1-2. Our prediction: Paris SG win (71%) · odds 1.43. Most likely pick Over 1.5 89% (odds ~1.13). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Marseille 1.06 – 2.75 Paris SG
Most likely scorelines
1-2 9%0-2 8%1-3 8%0-3 8%1-1 7%
Marseille vs Paris SG head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Marseille 1 wins, 0 draws, Paris SG 7 wins. 3.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 25%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Paris SG | 1-2 | Paris SG won |
| 2026-02-08 | Ligue 1 | Paris SG – Marseille | 5-0 | Paris SG won |
| 2025-09-22 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Paris SG | 1-0 | Marseille won |
| 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | Paris SG – Marseille | 3-1 | Paris SG won |
| 2024-10-27 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Paris SG | 0-3 | Paris SG won |
| 2024-03-31 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Paris SG | 0-2 | Paris SG won |
| 2023-09-24 | Ligue 1 | Paris SG – Marseille | 4-0 | Paris SG won |
| 2023-02-26 | Ligue 1 | Marseille – Paris SG | 0-3 | Paris SG won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.41 | 1.40 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 3.20 |
| Bet&Win | 6.25 | 5.25 | 1.43 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 | — | — |
| Betfred | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.36 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.33 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 7.00 | 5.25 | 1.36 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Marseille vs Paris SG?
Our model gives paris sg win a 71% chance; the draw is 18%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 62%. Expected goals Marseille 1.06 – 2.75 Paris SG.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 73%, under 27%. Over 1.5 89%, over 3.5 51%.
What is the Marseille vs Paris SG head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Marseille won 1, Paris SG won 7 and 0 were drawn, with 3.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 25% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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