Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 19 September 2026 17:00 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Burnley win (53%) · odds 1.87. Most likely pick Over 1.5 76% (odds ~1.31). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Burnley 1.7 – 1.0 Derby
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-0 11%2-0 10%2-1 10%0-0 7%
Burnley vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Burnley 4 wins, 4 draws, Derby 0 wins. 1.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 25%, over 2.5 in 25%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Championship | Burnley – Derby | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-04-08 | Championship | Derby – Burnley | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2024-12-10 | Championship | Burnley – Derby | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2016-01-25 | Championship | Burnley – Derby | 4-1 | Burnley won |
| 2015-09-21 | Championship | Derby – Burnley | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2014-03-01 | Championship | Burnley – Derby | 2-0 | Burnley won |
| 2013-08-31 | Championship | Derby – Burnley | 0-3 | Burnley won |
| 2012-12-26 | Championship | Burnley – Derby | 2-0 | Burnley won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.87 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.89 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.76 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| Bet&Win | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.33 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.20 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.20 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Derby?
Our model gives burnley win a 53% chance; the draw is 27%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 53%. Expected goals Burnley 1.7 – 1.0 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 51%, under 49%. Over 1.5 76%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Burnley vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Burnley won 4, Derby won 0 and 4 were drawn, with 1.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 25% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Burnley predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 19 September 2026
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