Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction & Odds
Eredivisie · 19 September 2026 21:00 · Final score 2-2. Our prediction: Ajax win (81%) · odds 1.24. Most likely pick Over 1.5 93% (odds ~1.09). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Ajax 3.29 – 0.9 Excelsior
Most likely scorelines
3-0 9%2-0 8%3-1 8%2-1 7%4-0 7%
Ajax vs Excelsior head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Ajax 3 wins, 4 draws, Excelsior 1 wins. 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 100%, over 2.5 in 100%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Eredivisie | Ajax – Excelsior | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2026-02-01 | Eredivisie | Excelsior – Ajax | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-11-22 | Eredivisie | Ajax – Excelsior | 1-2 | Excelsior won |
| 2024-04-24 | Eredivisie | Ajax – Excelsior | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2023-08-19 | Eredivisie | Excelsior – Ajax | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2023-01-29 | Eredivisie | Excelsior – Ajax | 1-4 | Ajax won |
| 2022-10-16 | Eredivisie | Ajax – Excelsior | 7-1 | Ajax won |
| 2019-04-13 | Eredivisie | Ajax – Excelsior | 6-2 | Ajax won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.24 | 7.60 | 12.50 | 1.28 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 1.25 | 4.00 |
| Bet&Win | 1.23 | 7.25 | 10.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 7.50 | 11.50 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.20 | 6.50 | 10.00 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 1.20 | 6.00 | 9.00 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 1.20 | 5.75 | 8.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ajax vs Excelsior?
Our model gives ajax win a 81% chance; the draw is 13%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Expected goals Ajax 3.29 – 0.9 Excelsior.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 79%, under 21%. Over 1.5 93%, over 3.5 56%.
What is the Ajax vs Excelsior head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Ajax won 3, Excelsior won 1 and 4 were drawn, with 5.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 100% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
Open in the app: live scores, coupons, odds comparison →
Other Eredivisie matches on 19 September 2026
- Den Haag – Cambuur Over 1.5 %85
- Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen Over 1.5 %85
- Ajax – Excelsior Over 1.5 %93
- Willem II – For Sittard Over 1.5 %82
Strongest picks of the day
- Sevilla – Barcelona Over 1.5 %91
- Karlsruhe – Nurnberg Over 1.5 %90
- Stuttgart – Dortmund Over 1.5 %90
- Werder Bremen – Augsburg Over 1.5 %88
- Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg Over 1.5 %88
- Sp Lisbon – Arouca Over 1.5 %87
- Trabzonspor – Galatasaray Over 1.5 %87
- Dresden – Hertha Over 1.5 %87
More
- Ajax predictions and form
- Excelsior predictions and form
- Eredivisie predictions and table
- All predictions for 19 September 2026
Last updated: