Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Odds
Championship · 2 September 2026 22:00 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Middlesbrough win (40%) · odds 2.54. Most likely pick Over 1.5 81% (odds ~1.28). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Burnley 1.35 – 1.56 Middlesbrough
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-2 9%0-1 8%2-1 8%1-0 7%
Burnley vs Middlesbrough head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Burnley 3 wins, 5 draws, Middlesbrough 0 wins. 1.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 25%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Championship | Burnley – Middlesbrough | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-12-29 | Championship | Middlesbrough – Burnley | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2024-12-06 | Championship | Burnley – Middlesbrough | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-04-07 | Championship | Middlesbrough – Burnley | 1-2 | Burnley won |
| 2022-12-17 | Championship | Burnley – Middlesbrough | 3-1 | Burnley won |
| 2017-04-08 | Premier League | Middlesbrough – Burnley | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2016-12-26 | Premier League | Burnley – Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Burnley won |
| 2016-04-19 | Championship | Burnley – Middlesbrough | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.92 | 3.70 | 2.54 | 1.77 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.32 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Bet&Win | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.45 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Middlesbrough?
Our model gives middlesbrough win a 40% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Expected goals Burnley 1.35 – 1.56 Middlesbrough.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 56%, under 44%. Over 1.5 81%, over 3.5 34%.
What is the Burnley vs Middlesbrough head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Burnley won 3, Middlesbrough won 0 and 5 were drawn, with 1.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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