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Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 23 August 2026 17:30 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Guimaraes win (61%) · odds 1.72. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.33). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Guimaraes61% 1.72
Draw24% 3.90
Nacional15% 5.60

Both teams to score

BTTS yes52% ~2.01
BTTS no48% ~1.99

Total goals (over)

Over 1.577% ~1.33
Over 2.551% 1.95
Over 3.528% ~3.60

Expected goals: Guimaraes 1.9 – 0.83 Nacional

Most likely scorelines

1-0 12%2-0 12%1-1 11%2-1 10%3-0 7%

REKLAM
reklam

Guimaraes vs Nacional head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Guimaraes 4 wins, 2 draws, Nacional 2 wins. 2.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-08-23Primeira LigaGuimaraes – Nacional1-0Guimaraes won
2026-05-16Primeira LigaNacional – Guimaraes2-0Nacional won
2026-01-02Primeira LigaGuimaraes – Nacional2-1Guimaraes won
2025-05-03Primeira LigaNacional – Guimaraes1-2Guimaraes won
2024-12-23Primeira LigaGuimaraes – Nacional2-2Draw
2021-04-26Primeira LigaNacional – Guimaraes1-0Nacional won
2021-01-21Primeira LigaGuimaraes – Nacional3-1Guimaraes won
2019-05-05Primeira LigaGuimaraes – Nacional2-2Draw

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.713.905.601.941.92
Bet3651.663.605.001.951.90
Bet&Win1.723.754.40——
BetVictor1.673.604.60——
Betfred1.673.604.60——
Paddy Power1.673.805.00——
SkyBet1.673.604.75——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Guimaraes

11.02 DGil Vicente0-0 B
10.23 EMaritimo5-0 G
10.11 DBenfica2-0 M
09.20 EMoreirense1-1 B
09.12 DAcademico Viseu2-1 M

Nacional

11.01 DArouca1-0 M
10.25 ESp Braga1-0 G
10.11 DRio Ave3-2 M
09.19 EFamalicao0-4 M
09.12 EAlverca1-3 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Guimaraes vs Nacional?

Our model gives guimaraes win a 61% chance; the draw is 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Expected goals Guimaraes 1.9 – 0.83 Nacional.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 51%, under 49%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 28%.

What is the Guimaraes vs Nacional head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Guimaraes won 4, Nacional won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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