Charlton vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 15 August 2026 17:00 · Final score 2-1. Our prediction: Derby win (36%) · odds 2.78. Most likely pick Under 3.5 79% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Charlton 1.16 – 1.21 Derby
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%0-1 11%1-0 10%0-0 10%1-2 8%
Charlton vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Charlton 2 wins, 2 draws, Derby 4 wins. 2.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Championship | Charlton – Derby | 2-1 | Charlton won |
| 2026-01-20 | Championship | Charlton – Derby | 1-2 | Derby won |
| 2025-09-30 | Championship | Derby – Charlton | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2019-12-30 | Championship | Derby – Charlton | 2-1 | Derby won |
| 2019-10-19 | Championship | Charlton – Derby | 3-0 | Charlton won |
| 2016-04-16 | Championship | Charlton – Derby | 0-1 | Derby won |
| 2015-08-15 | Championship | Derby – Charlton | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2015-02-24 | Championship | Derby – Charlton | 2-0 | Derby won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.90 | 3.35 | 2.78 | 2.26 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.65 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| Bet&Win | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.70 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.63 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.63 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.63 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Charlton vs Derby?
Our model gives derby win a 36% chance; the draw is 31%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Expected goals Charlton 1.16 – 1.21 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 42%, under 58%. Over 1.5 67%, over 3.5 21%.
What is the Charlton vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Charlton won 2, Derby won 4 and 2 were drawn, with 2.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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- Portsmouth – QPR Under 3.5 %79
- Stoke – Swansea Over 1.5 %74
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More
- Charlton predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 15 August 2026
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