Nacional vs Guimaraes Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 16 May 2026 20:00 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Nacional win (49%) · odds 2.05. Most likely pick Over 1.5 78% (odds ~1.27). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Nacional 1.75 – 1.22 Guimaraes
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 10%1-0 8%2-0 8%1-2 7%
Nacional vs Guimaraes head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Nacional 2 wins, 2 draws, Guimaraes 4 wins. 2.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Primeira Liga | Guimaraes – Nacional | 1-0 | Guimaraes won |
| 2026-05-16 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Guimaraes | 2-0 | Nacional won |
| 2026-01-02 | Primeira Liga | Guimaraes – Nacional | 2-1 | Guimaraes won |
| 2025-05-03 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Guimaraes | 1-2 | Guimaraes won |
| 2024-12-23 | Primeira Liga | Guimaraes – Nacional | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2021-04-26 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Guimaraes | 1-0 | Nacional won |
| 2021-01-21 | Primeira Liga | Guimaraes – Nacional | 3-1 | Guimaraes won |
| 2019-05-05 | Primeira Liga | Guimaraes – Nacional | 2-2 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.04 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 1.83 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.96 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| Bet&Win | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.60 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.30 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.60 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nacional vs Guimaraes?
Our model gives nacional win a 49% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Expected goals Nacional 1.75 – 1.22 Guimaraes.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 57%, under 43%. Over 1.5 78%, over 3.5 33%.
What is the Nacional vs Guimaraes head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Nacional won 2, Guimaraes won 4 and 2 were drawn, with 2.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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