Arouca vs Tondela Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 16 May 2026 20:00 · Final score 3-1. Our prediction: Tondela win (45%) · odds 2.28. Most likely pick Over 1.5 76% (odds ~1.30). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arouca 1.2 – 1.58 Tondela
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-2 9%0-1 9%0-2 8%2-1 7%
Arouca vs Tondela head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Arouca 4 wins, 2 draws, Tondela 2 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Tondela | 3-1 | Arouca won |
| 2026-01-03 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Arouca | 3-1 | Tondela won |
| 2022-03-19 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Arouca | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2021-10-29 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Tondela | 2-0 | Arouca won |
| 2017-05-13 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Tondela | 1-2 | Tondela won |
| 2017-01-08 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Arouca | 1-2 | Arouca won |
| 2016-03-06 | Primeira Liga | Tondela – Arouca | 0-1 | Arouca won |
| 2015-10-25 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Tondela | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.28 | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| Bet&Win | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 | — | — |
| Betfred | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arouca vs Tondela?
Our model gives tondela win a 45% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 58%. Expected goals Arouca 1.2 – 1.58 Tondela.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 76%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Arouca vs Tondela head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Arouca won 4, Tondela won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
Open in the app: live scores, coupons, odds comparison →
Other Primeira Liga matches on 16 May 2026
- Moreirense – AVS Over 1.5 %76
- Porto – Santa Clara Over 1.5 %79
- Arouca – Tondela Over 1.5 %76
- Casa Pia – Rio Ave Over 1.5 %76
- Nacional – Guimaraes Over 1.5 %78
- Sp Braga – Estrela Over 1.5 %78
- Estoril – Benfica Over 1.5 %87
- Famalicao – Alverca Over 1.5 %80
- Sp Lisbon – Gil Vicente Over 1.5 %86
Strongest picks of the day
- Bayern Munich – FC Koln Over 1.5 %97
- Ein Frankfurt – Stuttgart Over 1.5 %92
- Leverkusen – Hamburg Over 1.5 %91
- M'gladbach – Hoffenheim Over 1.5 %90
- Freiburg – RB Leipzig Over 1.5 %88
- Werder Bremen – Dortmund Over 1.5 %88
- Heidenheim – Mainz Over 1.5 %88
- Gaziantep – Buyuksehyr Over 1.5 %86
More
- Arouca predictions and form
- Tondela predictions and form
- Primeira Liga predictions and table
- All predictions for 16 May 2026
Last updated: