Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 10 May 2026 16:00 · Final score 2-2. Our prediction: Aston Villa win (65%) · odds 1.64. Most likely pick Over 1.5 79% (odds ~1.26). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Burnley 0.93 – 2.12 Aston Villa
Most likely scorelines
0-2 11%1-2 10%1-1 10%0-1 10%0-3 8%
Burnley vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Burnley 1 wins, 3 draws, Aston Villa 4 wins. 3.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 88%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Premier League | Burnley – Aston Villa | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-10-05 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Burnley | 2-1 | Aston Villa won |
| 2023-12-30 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Burnley | 3-2 | Aston Villa won |
| 2023-08-27 | Premier League | Burnley – Aston Villa | 1-3 | Aston Villa won |
| 2022-05-19 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Burnley | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2022-05-07 | Premier League | Burnley – Aston Villa | 1-3 | Aston Villa won |
| 2021-01-27 | Premier League | Burnley – Aston Villa | 3-2 | Burnley won |
| 2020-12-17 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Burnley | 0-0 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 5.70 | 4.30 | 1.64 | 1.78 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.60 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Bet&Win | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.61 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.57 | — | — |
| Betfred | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.60 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.61 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Burnley vs Aston Villa?
Our model gives aston villa win a 65% chance; the draw is 19%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Expected goals Burnley 0.93 – 2.12 Aston Villa.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 59%, under 41%. Over 1.5 79%, over 3.5 34%.
What is the Burnley vs Aston Villa head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Burnley won 1, Aston Villa won 4 and 3 were drawn, with 3.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 88% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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