Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Odds
La Liga · 10 May 2026 22:00 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Barcelona win (60%) · odds 1.69. Most likely pick Over 1.5 93% (odds ~1.09). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Barcelona 2.7 – 1.62 Real Madrid
Most likely scorelines
2-1 8%3-1 7%2-2 6%1-1 6%3-2 6%
Barcelona vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Barcelona 4 wins, 0 draws, Real Madrid 4 wins. 3.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 88%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | La Liga | Barcelona – Real Madrid | 1-2 | Real Madrid won |
| 2026-05-10 | La Liga | Barcelona – Real Madrid | 2-0 | Barcelona won |
| 2025-10-26 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Barcelona | 2-1 | Real Madrid won |
| 2025-05-11 | La Liga | Barcelona – Real Madrid | 4-3 | Barcelona won |
| 2024-10-26 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Barcelona | 0-4 | Barcelona won |
| 2024-04-21 | La Liga | Real Madrid – Barcelona | 3-2 | Real Madrid won |
| 2023-10-28 | La Liga | Barcelona – Real Madrid | 1-2 | Real Madrid won |
| 2023-03-19 | La Liga | Barcelona – Real Madrid | 2-1 | Barcelona won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.69 | 5.10 | 4.50 | 1.30 | 4.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.25 | 4.00 |
| Bet&Win | 1.66 | 4.50 | 4.33 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.62 | 4.60 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.65 | 4.40 | 4.33 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
Our model gives barcelona win a 60% chance; the draw is 20%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 75%. Expected goals Barcelona 2.7 – 1.62 Real Madrid.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 81%, under 19%. Over 1.5 93%, over 3.5 62%.
What is the Barcelona vs Real Madrid head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Barcelona won 4, Real Madrid won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 3.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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