Mainz vs Union Berlin Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 10 May 2026 20:30 · Final score 1-3. Our prediction: Mainz win (53%) · odds 1.80. Most likely pick Over 1.5 82% (odds ~1.26). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Mainz 1.82 – 1.08 Union Berlin
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%2-1 10%1-0 10%2-0 9%0-0 6%
Mainz vs Union Berlin head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Mainz 0 wins, 4 draws, Union Berlin 4 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 88%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Union Berlin | 1-3 | Union Berlin won |
| 2026-01-10 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – Mainz | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-01-19 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – Mainz | 2-1 | Union Berlin won |
| 2024-08-24 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Union Berlin | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2024-02-07 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Union Berlin | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-08-20 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – Mainz | 4-1 | Union Berlin won |
| 2023-02-04 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin – Mainz | 2-1 | Union Berlin won |
| 2022-08-14 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Union Berlin | 0-0 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.78 | 4.20 | 4.50 | 1.73 | 2.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| Bet&Win | 1.77 | 3.90 | 4.20 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.20 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mainz vs Union Berlin?
Our model gives mainz win a 53% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Expected goals Mainz 1.82 – 1.08 Union Berlin.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 55%, under 45%. Over 1.5 82%, over 3.5 34%.
What is the Mainz vs Union Berlin head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Mainz won 0, Union Berlin won 4 and 4 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 88% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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