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Benfica vs Nacional Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 12 April 2026 20:00 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Benfica win (88%) · odds 1.15. Most likely pick Over 1.5 90% (odds ~1.12). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Benfica88% 1.15
Draw8% 9.60
Nacional4% 20.00

Both teams to score

BTTS yes47% ~2.28
BTTS no53% ~1.78

Total goals (over)

Over 1.590% ~1.12
Over 2.574% 1.36
Over 3.553% ~1.91

Expected goals: Benfica 3.27 – 0.61 Nacional

Most likely scorelines

3-0 12%2-0 11%4-0 10%3-1 7%2-1 7%

REKLAM
reklam

Benfica vs Nacional head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Benfica 7 wins, 1 draws, Nacional 0 wins. 3.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 62%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-04-12Primeira LigaBenfica – Nacional2-0Benfica won
2025-11-29Primeira LigaNacional – Benfica1-2Benfica won
2025-03-08Primeira LigaBenfica – Nacional3-0Benfica won
2024-12-19Primeira LigaNacional – Benfica0-2Benfica won
2021-05-11Primeira LigaNacional – Benfica1-3Benfica won
2021-01-25Primeira LigaBenfica – Nacional1-1Draw
2019-02-10Primeira LigaBenfica – Nacional10-0Benfica won
2018-09-02Primeira LigaNacional – Benfica0-4Benfica won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.159.6020.001.363.35
Bet3651.118.0015.001.363.10
BetVictor1.127.5015.00——
Betfred1.147.5013.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Benfica

11.08 DEstrela2-3 G
11.02 EAlverca1-0 G
10.26 DSanta Clara1-2 G
10.11 EGuimaraes2-0 G
09.20 DPorto3-1 M

Nacional

11.08 EAcademico Viseu1-0 G
11.01 DArouca1-0 M
10.25 ESp Braga1-0 G
10.11 DRio Ave3-2 M
09.19 EFamalicao0-4 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Nacional?

Our model gives benfica win a 88% chance; the draw is 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: no at 53%. Expected goals Benfica 3.27 – 0.61 Nacional.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 74%, under 26%. Over 1.5 90%, over 3.5 53%.

What is the Benfica vs Nacional head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Benfica won 7, Nacional won 0 and 1 were drawn, with 3.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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