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Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 12 April 2026 17:30 · Final score 3-1. Our prediction: Alverca win (50%) · odds 2.06. Most likely pick Under 3.5 77% (odds ~1.28). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Alverca50% 2.06
Draw27% 3.30
Casa Pia23% 4.20

Both teams to score

BTTS yes50% ~2.11
BTTS no50% ~1.90

Total goals (over)

Over 1.568% ~1.44
Over 2.542% 2.40
Over 3.523% ~4.54

Expected goals: Alverca 1.45 – 0.9 Casa Pia

Most likely scorelines

1-0 13%1-1 13%0-0 10%2-0 10%2-1 9%

REKLAM
reklam

Alverca vs Casa Pia head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Alverca 2 wins, 1 draws, Casa Pia 0 wins. 2.67 goals per game, both teams scored in 67%, over 2.5 in 33%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-11-07Primeira LigaAlverca – Casa Pia1-1Draw
2026-04-12Primeira LigaAlverca – Casa Pia3-1Alverca won
2025-11-29Primeira LigaCasa Pia – Alverca0-2Alverca won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.063.254.002.401.58
Bet3651.963.303.902.151.67
Bet&Win2.003.303.60——
BetVictor1.953.203.70——
Betfred1.953.253.75——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Alverca

11.07 ECasa Pia1-1 B
11.02 DBenfica1-0 M
10.24 EArouca0-1 M
10.12 DFamalicao1-4 G
09.19 ERio Ave1-0 G

Casa Pia

11.07 DAlverca1-1 B
10.30 ESp Lisbon0-2 M
10.24 DEstrela0-2 G
10.10 ESanta Clara0-1 M
09.20 DEstoril1-2 G

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alverca vs Casa Pia?

Our model gives alverca win a 50% chance; the draw is 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: no at 50%. Expected goals Alverca 1.45 – 0.9 Casa Pia.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 42%, under 58%. Over 1.5 68%, over 3.5 23%.

What is the Alverca vs Casa Pia head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings Alverca won 2, Casa Pia won 0 and 1 were drawn, with 2.67 goals per game and both teams scoring in 67% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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