Mainz vs Freiburg Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 12 April 2026 20:30 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Mainz win (40%) · odds 2.36. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.32). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Mainz 1.5 – 1.21 Freiburg
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 9%2-1 9%0-1 7%2-0 7%
Mainz vs Freiburg head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Mainz 0 wins, 4 draws, Freiburg 4 wins. 2.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Freiburg | 0-1 | Freiburg won |
| 2025-11-30 | Bundesliga | Freiburg – Mainz | 4-0 | Freiburg won |
| 2025-03-15 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Freiburg | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2024-11-03 | Bundesliga | Freiburg – Mainz | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2024-04-21 | Bundesliga | Freiburg – Mainz | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-12-03 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Freiburg | 0-1 | Freiburg won |
| 2023-03-19 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Freiburg | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2022-10-01 | Bundesliga | Freiburg – Mainz | 2-1 | Freiburg won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.36 | 3.30 | 3.55 | 1.92 | 2.04 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| Bet&Win | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.40 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.20 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mainz vs Freiburg?
Our model gives mainz win a 40% chance; the draw is 33%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Expected goals Mainz 1.5 – 1.21 Freiburg.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 51%, under 49%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Mainz vs Freiburg head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Mainz won 0, Freiburg won 4 and 4 were drawn, with 2.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
Open in the app: live scores, coupons, odds comparison →
Other Bundesliga matches on 12 April 2026
Strongest picks of the day
- Benfica – Nacional Over 1.5 %90
- AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen Over 1.5 %90
- Nijmegen – Feyenoord Over 1.5 %90
- Paderborn – Magdeburg Over 1.5 %88
- Chelsea – Man City Over 1.5 %84
- Galatasaray – Kocaelispor Over 1.5 %84
- Zwolle – Excelsior Over 1.5 %83
- Santander – Almeria Over 1.5 %83
More
- Mainz predictions and form
- Freiburg predictions and form
- Bundesliga predictions and table
- All predictions for 12 April 2026
Last updated: