Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 5 December 2026 15:30. Our prediction: Middlesbrough win (63%). Most likely pick Over 1.5 79%.
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Middlesbrough 2.17 – 1.08 Derby
Most likely scorelines
2-1 10%1-1 10%2-0 9%1-0 8%3-1 7%
Middlesbrough vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Middlesbrough 4 wins, 1 draws, Derby 3 wins. 2.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | Championship | Derby – Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-11-29 | Championship | Middlesbrough – Derby | 2-1 | Middlesbrough won |
| 2025-03-01 | Championship | Middlesbrough – Derby | 1-0 | Middlesbrough won |
| 2024-08-17 | Championship | Derby – Middlesbrough | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2022-02-12 | Championship | Middlesbrough – Derby | 4-1 | Middlesbrough won |
| 2021-08-21 | Championship | Derby – Middlesbrough | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2021-02-13 | Championship | Derby – Middlesbrough | 2-1 | Derby won |
| 2020-11-25 | Championship | Middlesbrough – Derby | 3-0 | Middlesbrough won |
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Derby?
Our model gives middlesbrough win a 63% chance; the draw is 19%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 54%. Expected goals Middlesbrough 2.17 – 1.08 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 63%, under 37%. Over 1.5 79%, over 3.5 26%.
What is the Middlesbrough vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Middlesbrough won 4, Derby won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 2.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Orta. Bahis oranı bulunamadı - tahmin, sitelerin görüşü olmadan yapıldı Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Middlesbrough predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 5 December 2026
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