Derby vs Watford Prediction & Odds
Championship · 28 November 2026 18:00. Our prediction: Derby win (46%). Most likely pick Under 3.5 81%.
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Derby 1.59 – 1.21 Watford
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 9%1-0 9%2-0 8%1-2 7%
Derby vs Watford head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Derby 1 wins, 1 draws, Watford 6 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 2-0 | Watford won |
| 2025-11-22 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 2-3 | Watford won |
| 2025-01-18 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 0-2 | Watford won |
| 2024-08-24 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 2-1 | Watford won |
| 2021-02-19 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 2-1 | Watford won |
| 2020-10-16 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 0-1 | Watford won |
| 2015-04-03 | Championship | Derby – Watford | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2014-11-22 | Championship | Watford – Derby | 1-2 | Derby won |
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Watford?
Our model gives derby win a 46% chance; the draw is 24%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 57%. Expected goals Derby 1.59 – 1.21 Watford.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 74%, over 3.5 19%.
What is the Derby vs Watford head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Derby won 1, Watford won 6 and 1 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Düşük. Bahis oranı bulunamadı - tahmin, sitelerin görüşü olmadan yapıldı Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Derby predictions and form
- Watford predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 28 November 2026
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