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Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Odds

La Liga · 23 October 2026 22:00 · Final score 1-1. Our prediction: Alaves win (61%) · odds 1.65. Most likely pick Under 3.5 77% (odds ~1.34). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Alaves61% 1.65
Draw25% 4.00
Malaga14% 6.25

Both teams to score

BTTS yes48% ~2.19
BTTS no52% ~1.84

Total goals (over)

Over 1.570% ~1.38
Over 2.545% 2.05
Over 3.523% ~3.98

Expected goals: Alaves 1.74 – 0.72 Malaga

Most likely scorelines

1-0 14%2-0 13%1-1 11%2-1 9%0-0 9%

REKLAM
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Alaves vs Malaga head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: Alaves 4 wins, 2 draws, Malaga 1 wins. 2.14 goals per game, both teams scored in 57%, over 2.5 in 43%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-10-23La LigaAlaves – Malaga1-1Draw
2023-05-20SegundaAlaves – Malaga2-1Alaves won
2022-12-18SegundaMalaga – Alaves1-0Malaga won
2018-05-06La LigaMalaga – Alaves0-3Alaves won
2017-12-21La LigaAlaves – Malaga1-0Alaves won
2017-03-11La LigaMalaga – Alaves1-2Alaves won
2016-10-16La LigaAlaves – Malaga1-1Draw

Recent matches

Alaves

10.31 DBarcelona6-1 M
10.23 EMalaga1-1 B
10.18 DCelta2-1 M
10.10 EAth Madrid1-2 M
09.19 DAth Bilbao0-0 B

Malaga

10.31 DBetis2-1 M
10.23 DAlaves1-1 B
10.18 ESociedad2-5 M
10.09 EEspanol1-1 B
09.20 DGetafe1-0 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Malaga?

Our model gives alaves win a 61% chance; the draw is 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: no at 52%. Expected goals Alaves 1.74 – 0.72 Malaga.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 45%, under 55%. Over 1.5 70%, over 3.5 23%.

What is the Alaves vs Malaga head-to-head record?

In the last 7 meetings Alaves won 4, Malaga won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.14 goals per game and both teams scoring in 57% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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