Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Odds
Serie A · 18 October 2026 19:00 · Final score 3-2. Our prediction: Milan win (58%) · odds 1.85. Most likely pick Over 1.5 84% (odds ~1.27). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Milan 2.15 – 1.14 Atalanta
Most likely scorelines
2-1 10%1-1 10%2-0 9%1-0 8%3-1 7%
Milan vs Atalanta head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Milan 2 wins, 2 draws, Atalanta 4 wins. 3.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 75%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Serie A | Milan – Atalanta | 3-2 | Milan won |
| 2026-05-10 | Serie A | Milan – Atalanta | 2-3 | Atalanta won |
| 2025-10-28 | Serie A | Atalanta – Milan | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-04-20 | Serie A | Milan – Atalanta | 0-1 | Atalanta won |
| 2024-12-06 | Serie A | Atalanta – Milan | 2-1 | Atalanta won |
| 2024-02-25 | Serie A | Milan – Atalanta | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-12-09 | Serie A | Atalanta – Milan | 3-2 | Atalanta won |
| 2023-02-26 | Serie A | Milan – Atalanta | 2-0 | Milan won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.85 | 3.90 | 4.70 | 1.81 | 2.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Bet&Win | 1.82 | 3.80 | 4.10 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.10 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.20 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Milan vs Atalanta?
Our model gives milan win a 58% chance; the draw is 24%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 61%. Expected goals Milan 2.15 – 1.14 Atalanta.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 64%, under 36%. Over 1.5 84%, over 3.5 38%.
What is the Milan vs Atalanta head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Milan won 2, Atalanta won 4 and 2 were drawn, with 3.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 75% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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