Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Odds
Championship · 17 October 2026 17:00 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Stoke win (39%) · odds 2.50. Most likely pick Under 3.5 76% (odds ~1.37). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Derby 1.19 – 1.37 Stoke
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 10%1-2 9%1-0 9%0-0 8%
Derby vs Stoke head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Derby 3 wins, 1 draws, Stoke 4 wins. 2.12 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Championship | Derby – Stoke | 0-1 | Stoke won |
| 2026-04-06 | Championship | Derby – Stoke | 2-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-08-09 | Championship | Stoke – Derby | 3-1 | Stoke won |
| 2025-05-03 | Championship | Derby – Stoke | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2024-11-02 | Championship | Stoke – Derby | 2-1 | Stoke won |
| 2021-12-30 | Championship | Stoke – Derby | 1-2 | Derby won |
| 2021-09-18 | Championship | Derby – Stoke | 2-1 | Derby won |
| 2021-03-20 | Championship | Stoke – Derby | 1-0 | Stoke won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 3.05 | 3.50 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Bet&Win | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.45 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.38 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.40 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.40 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Stoke?
Our model gives stoke win a 39% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 53%. Expected goals Derby 1.19 – 1.37 Stoke.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 47%, under 53%. Over 1.5 73%, over 3.5 24%.
What is the Derby vs Stoke head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Derby won 3, Stoke won 4 and 1 were drawn, with 2.12 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
Open in the app: live scores, coupons, odds comparison →
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More
- Derby predictions and form
- Stoke predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 17 October 2026
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