Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 17 October 2026 19:30 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Newcastle win (42%) · odds 2.38. Most likely pick Over 1.5 82% (odds ~1.22). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.69 – 1.39 Aston Villa
Most likely scorelines
1-1 11%2-1 9%1-2 8%1-0 7%2-0 7%
Newcastle vs Aston Villa head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Newcastle 3 wins, 1 draws, Aston Villa 4 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Premier League | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 0-1 | Aston Villa won |
| 2026-01-25 | Premier League | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 0-2 | Aston Villa won |
| 2025-08-16 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2025-04-19 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 4-1 | Aston Villa won |
| 2024-12-26 | Premier League | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 3-0 | Newcastle won |
| 2024-01-30 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 1-3 | Newcastle won |
| 2023-08-12 | Premier League | Newcastle – Aston Villa | 5-1 | Newcastle won |
| 2023-04-15 | Premier League | Aston Villa – Newcastle | 3-0 | Aston Villa won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.38 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.65 | 2.48 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| Bet&Win | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.88 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.20 | 3.75 | 3.00 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.88 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.88 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our model gives newcastle win a 42% chance; the draw is 28%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 61%. Expected goals Newcastle 1.69 – 1.39 Aston Villa.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 60%, under 40%. Over 1.5 82%, over 3.5 37%.
What is the Newcastle vs Aston Villa head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Newcastle won 3, Aston Villa won 4 and 1 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Premier League matches on 17 October 2026
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- Man City – Ipswich Over 1.5 %88
- Newcastle – Aston Villa Over 1.5 %82
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More
- Newcastle predictions and form
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