QPR vs Derby Prediction & Odds
Championship · 14 October 2026 21:45 · Final score 4-1. Our prediction: QPR win (53%) · odds 1.77. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: QPR 1.76 – 1.05 Derby
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-0 10%2-1 10%2-0 9%0-0 7%
QPR vs Derby head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: QPR 4 wins, 0 draws, Derby 4 wins. 2.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Championship | QPR – Derby | 4-1 | QPR won |
| 2026-04-25 | Championship | QPR – Derby | 2-3 | Derby won |
| 2025-10-25 | Championship | Derby – QPR | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-02-14 | Championship | QPR – Derby | 4-0 | QPR won |
| 2024-10-05 | Championship | Derby – QPR | 2-0 | Derby won |
| 2022-04-18 | Championship | QPR – Derby | 1-0 | QPR won |
| 2021-11-29 | Championship | Derby – QPR | 1-2 | QPR won |
| 2021-01-23 | Championship | QPR – Derby | 0-1 | Derby won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.77 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.86 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Bet&Win | 1.71 | 3.90 | 4.60 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.75 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.50 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.50 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win QPR vs Derby?
Our model gives qpr win a 53% chance; the draw is 26%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Expected goals QPR 1.76 – 1.05 Derby.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 27%.
What is the QPR vs Derby head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings QPR won 4, Derby won 4 and 0 were drawn, with 2.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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Other Championship matches on 14 October 2026
- Norwich – Southampton Over 1.5 %82
- Portsmouth – Sheffield United Under 3.5 %74
- QPR – Derby Over 1.5 %77
- Lincoln – West Ham Over 1.5 %74
More
- QPR predictions and form
- Derby predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 14 October 2026
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