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Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Odds

La Liga · 15 September 2026 21:00 · Final score 0-1. Our prediction: Alaves win (54%) · odds 1.80. Most likely pick Under 3.5 77% (odds ~1.31). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Alaves54% 1.80
Draw28% 3.65
Valencia18% 5.75

Both teams to score

BTTS yes49% ~2.17
BTTS no51% ~1.86

Total goals (over)

Over 1.570% ~1.40
Over 2.545% 2.16
Over 3.523% ~4.19

Expected goals: Alaves 1.63 – 0.85 Valencia

Most likely scorelines

1-0 13%1-1 12%2-0 11%2-1 9%0-0 9%

REKLAM
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Alaves vs Valencia head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Alaves 4 wins, 2 draws, Valencia 2 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-15La LigaAlaves – Valencia0-1Valencia won
2026-03-08La LigaValencia – Alaves3-2Valencia won
2025-10-20La LigaAlaves – Valencia0-0Draw
2025-05-14La LigaAlaves – Valencia1-0Alaves won
2024-12-22La LigaValencia – Alaves2-2Draw
2024-05-05La LigaValencia – Alaves0-1Alaves won
2023-09-02La LigaAlaves – Valencia1-0Alaves won
2022-02-13La LigaAlaves – Valencia2-1Alaves won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.803.655.702.161.83
Bet3651.703.505.502.101.73
Bet&Win1.773.505.00——
BetVictor1.673.605.75——
Betfred1.733.505.00——
Paddy Power1.733.405.00——
SkyBet1.733.505.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Alaves

10.31 DBarcelona6-1 M
10.23 EMalaga1-1 B
10.18 DCelta2-1 M
10.10 EAth Madrid1-2 M
09.19 DAth Bilbao0-0 B

Valencia

11.01 DElche0-1 G
10.24 EVillarreal1-2 M
10.17 EAth Bilbao0-0 B
10.11 DSantander2-2 B
09.20 ESociedad2-3 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Valencia?

Our model gives alaves win a 54% chance; the draw is 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: no at 51%. Expected goals Alaves 1.63 – 0.85 Valencia.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 45%, under 55%. Over 1.5 70%, over 3.5 23%.

What is the Alaves vs Valencia head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Alaves won 4, Valencia won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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