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Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Odds

Premier League · 14 September 2026 22:00 · Final score 4-1. Our prediction: Leeds win (36%) · odds 2.50. Most likely pick Over 1.5 78% (odds ~1.28). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Leeds36% 2.50
Draw29% 3.60
Newcastle35% 3.05

Both teams to score

BTTS yes60% ~1.73
BTTS no40% ~2.37

Total goals (over)

Over 1.578% ~1.28
Over 2.554% 1.84
Over 3.531% ~3.18

Expected goals: Leeds 1.44 – 1.42 Newcastle

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12%2-1 8%1-2 8%1-0 8%0-1 8%

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Leeds vs Newcastle head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Leeds 2 wins, 4 draws, Newcastle 2 wins. 2.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 50%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-14Premier LeagueLeeds – Newcastle4-1Leeds won
2026-01-07Premier LeagueNewcastle – Leeds4-3Newcastle won
2025-08-30Premier LeagueLeeds – Newcastle0-0Draw
2023-05-13Premier LeagueLeeds – Newcastle2-2Draw
2022-12-31Premier LeagueNewcastle – Leeds0-0Draw
2022-01-22Premier LeagueLeeds – Newcastle0-1Newcastle won
2021-09-17Premier LeagueNewcastle – Leeds1-1Draw
2021-01-26Premier LeagueNewcastle – Leeds1-2Leeds won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.2.483.603.051.842.12
Bet3652.383.502.881.802.00
Bet&Win2.403.502.80——
BetVictor2.303.502.80——
Betfred2.403.602.75——
Paddy Power2.383.402.88——
SkyBet2.383.302.80——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Leeds

10.31 DBournemouth2-0 M
10.25 DSunderland0-0 B
10.18 EMan United1-1 B
10.10 DArsenal2-1 M
09.20 ECrystal Palace0-0 B

Newcastle

11.02 EEverton0-1 M
10.25 DCrystal Palace0-2 G
10.17 EAston Villa0-1 M
10.12 DCoventry4-1 M
09.19 EHull2-1 G

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leeds vs Newcastle?

Our model gives leeds win a 36% chance; the draw is 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Expected goals Leeds 1.44 – 1.42 Newcastle.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 54%, under 46%. Over 1.5 78%, over 3.5 31%.

What is the Leeds vs Newcastle head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Leeds won 2, Newcastle won 2 and 4 were drawn, with 2.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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