Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 14 September 2026 22:00 · Final score 4-1. Our prediction: Leeds win (36%) · odds 2.50. Most likely pick Over 1.5 78% (odds ~1.28). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Leeds 1.44 – 1.42 Newcastle
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 8%1-2 8%1-0 8%0-1 8%
Leeds vs Newcastle head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Leeds 2 wins, 4 draws, Newcastle 2 wins. 2.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Premier League | Leeds – Newcastle | 4-1 | Leeds won |
| 2026-01-07 | Premier League | Newcastle – Leeds | 4-3 | Newcastle won |
| 2025-08-30 | Premier League | Leeds – Newcastle | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2023-05-13 | Premier League | Leeds – Newcastle | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2022-12-31 | Premier League | Newcastle – Leeds | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2022-01-22 | Premier League | Leeds – Newcastle | 0-1 | Newcastle won |
| 2021-09-17 | Premier League | Newcastle – Leeds | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2021-01-26 | Premier League | Newcastle – Leeds | 1-2 | Leeds won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.48 | 3.60 | 3.05 | 1.84 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Bet&Win | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.80 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.75 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.88 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.80 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Leeds vs Newcastle?
Our model gives leeds win a 36% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Expected goals Leeds 1.44 – 1.42 Newcastle.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 54%, under 46%. Over 1.5 78%, over 3.5 31%.
What is the Leeds vs Newcastle head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Leeds won 2, Newcastle won 2 and 4 were drawn, with 2.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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