Nacional vs Alverca Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 12 September 2026 17:30 · Final score 1-3. Our prediction: Alverca win (38%) · odds 2.78. Most likely pick Under 3.5 73% (odds ~1.33). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Nacional 1.25 – 1.38 Alverca
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 9%1-2 9%1-0 8%0-0 8%
Nacional vs Alverca head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Nacional 1 wins, 0 draws, Alverca 2 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 33%, over 2.5 in 33%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Alverca | 1-3 | Alverca won |
| 2026-04-18 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Alverca | 1-0 | Nacional won |
| 2025-12-07 | Primeira Liga | Alverca – Nacional | 1-0 | Alverca won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.68 | 3.30 | 2.78 | 2.08 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| Bet&Win | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.60 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.60 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.63 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.60 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nacional vs Alverca?
Our model gives alverca win a 38% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Expected goals Nacional 1.25 – 1.38 Alverca.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 49%, under 51%. Over 1.5 73%, over 3.5 27%.
What is the Nacional vs Alverca head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings Nacional won 1, Alverca won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 33% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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