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Lazio vs Milan Prediction & Odds

Serie A · 12 September 2026 19:00 · Final score 2-2. Our prediction: Milan win (46%) · odds 2.38. Most likely pick Under 3.5 80% (odds ~1.27). Prediction missed ✗

Match result

Lazio24% 3.55
Draw30% 3.40
Milan46% 2.38

Both teams to score

BTTS yes51% ~2.10
BTTS no49% ~1.91

Total goals (over)

Over 1.570% ~1.46
Over 2.542% 2.38
Over 3.520% ~4.77

Expected goals: Lazio 0.95 – 1.42 Milan

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13%0-1 13%0-0 10%0-2 9%1-2 9%

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Lazio vs Milan head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Lazio 2 wins, 2 draws, Milan 4 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-12Serie ALazio – Milan2-2Draw
2026-03-15Serie ALazio – Milan1-0Lazio won
2025-11-29Serie AMilan – Lazio1-0Milan won
2025-03-02Serie AMilan – Lazio1-2Lazio won
2024-08-31Serie ALazio – Milan2-2Draw
2024-03-01Serie ALazio – Milan0-1Milan won
2023-09-30Serie AMilan – Lazio2-0Milan won
2023-05-06Serie AMilan – Lazio2-0Milan won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.3.553.302.382.381.69
Bet3653.403.202.252.201.67
Bet&Win3.253.252.25——
BetVictor3.303.202.25——
Betfred3.303.402.20——
Paddy Power3.303.102.30——
SkyBet3.253.102.30——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Lazio

11.01 ECagliari2-1 G
10.27 DSassuolo2-6 G
10.24 EParma2-1 G
10.18 DJuventus0-3 G
10.11 EMonza3-1 G

Milan

10.31 EInter3-1 G
10.28 EBologna2-4 M
10.25 DUdinese0-2 G
10.18 EAtalanta3-2 G
10.11 DSassuolo1-1 B

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lazio vs Milan?

Our model gives milan win a 46% chance; the draw is 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Lazio 0.95 – 1.42 Milan.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 42%, under 58%. Over 1.5 70%, over 3.5 20%.

What is the Lazio vs Milan head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Lazio won 2, Milan won 4 and 2 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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