Derby vs Birmingham Prediction & Odds
Championship · 12 September 2026 14:30 · Final score 1-2. Our prediction: Birmingham win (47%) · odds 2.26. Most likely pick Under 3.5 76% (odds ~1.31). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Derby 1.0 – 1.49 Birmingham
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 12%1-2 9%0-2 9%0-0 9%
Derby vs Birmingham head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Derby 3 wins, 2 draws, Birmingham 3 wins. 2.88 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 1-2 | Birmingham won |
| 2026-03-21 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-12-26 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2022-01-30 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2021-09-10 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 2-0 | Birmingham won |
| 2021-04-24 | Championship | Derby – Birmingham | 1-2 | Birmingham won |
| 2020-12-29 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 0-4 | Derby won |
| 2020-07-22 | Championship | Birmingham – Derby | 1-3 | Derby won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 3.55 | 3.50 | 2.26 | 2.10 | 1.84 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| Bet&Win | 3.40 | 3.25 | 2.20 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.15 | — | — |
| Betfred | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.10 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.15 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Birmingham?
Our model gives birmingham win a 47% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 53%. Expected goals Derby 1.0 – 1.49 Birmingham.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 45%, under 55%. Over 1.5 72%, over 3.5 24%.
What is the Derby vs Birmingham head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Derby won 3, Birmingham won 3 and 2 were drawn, with 2.88 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Derby predictions and form
- Birmingham predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 12 September 2026
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