Hamburg vs Mainz Prediction & Odds
Bundesliga · 6 September 2026 16:30 · Final score 0-5. Our prediction: Mainz win (43%) · odds 2.52. Most likely pick Over 1.5 81% (odds ~1.25). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Hamburg 1.25 – 1.66 Mainz
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-2 9%0-1 8%0-2 7%2-1 7%
Hamburg vs Mainz head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Hamburg 1 wins, 4 draws, Mainz 3 wins. 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Bundesliga | Hamburg – Mainz | 0-5 | Mainz won |
| 2026-02-20 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Hamburg | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-10-05 | Bundesliga | Hamburg – Mainz | 4-0 | Hamburg won |
| 2018-03-03 | Bundesliga | Hamburg – Mainz | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2017-10-14 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Hamburg | 3-2 | Mainz won |
| 2017-05-07 | Bundesliga | Hamburg – Mainz | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2016-12-17 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Hamburg | 3-1 | Mainz won |
| 2016-04-30 | Bundesliga | Mainz – Hamburg | 0-0 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.96 | 3.70 | 2.52 | 1.77 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.73 | 2.10 |
| Bet&Win | 2.85 | 3.60 | 2.30 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.38 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.30 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.38 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hamburg vs Mainz?
Our model gives mainz win a 43% chance; the draw is 31%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 60%. Expected goals Hamburg 1.25 – 1.66 Mainz.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 56%, under 44%. Over 1.5 81%, over 3.5 36%.
What is the Hamburg vs Mainz head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Hamburg won 1, Mainz won 3 and 4 were drawn, with 2.5 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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