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Sp Lisbon vs Nacional Prediction & Odds

Primeira Liga · 5 September 2026 22:30 · Final score 2-0. Our prediction: Sp Lisbon win (83%) · odds 1.23. Most likely pick Over 1.5 88% (odds ~1.14). Prediction was correct ✓

Match result

Sp Lisbon83% 1.23
Draw13% 7.20
Nacional4% 17.50

Both teams to score

BTTS yes52% ~2.10
BTTS no48% ~1.91

Total goals (over)

Over 1.588% ~1.14
Over 2.569% 1.45
Over 3.546% ~2.10

Expected goals: Sp Lisbon 2.94 – 0.63 Nacional

Most likely scorelines

2-0 12%3-0 12%4-0 9%1-0 8%2-1 8%

REKLAM
reklam

Sp Lisbon vs Nacional head-to-head

Last 8 meetings: Sp Lisbon 8 wins, 0 draws, Nacional 0 wins. 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 38%, over 2.5 in 38%.

DateLeagueMatchScoreResult
2026-09-05Primeira LigaSp Lisbon – Nacional2-0Sp Lisbon won
2026-02-01Primeira LigaSp Lisbon – Nacional2-1Sp Lisbon won
2025-08-23Primeira LigaNacional – Sp Lisbon1-4Sp Lisbon won
2025-01-25Primeira LigaSp Lisbon – Nacional2-0Sp Lisbon won
2024-08-17Primeira LigaNacional – Sp Lisbon1-6Sp Lisbon won
2021-05-01Primeira LigaSp Lisbon – Nacional2-0Sp Lisbon won
2021-01-08Primeira LigaNacional – Sp Lisbon0-2Sp Lisbon won
2019-04-19Primeira LigaNacional – Sp Lisbon0-1Sp Lisbon won

Bookmaker odds

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5
Betfair Exch.1.237.2017.501.453.00
Bet3651.176.5013.001.442.70
Bet&Win1.226.5011.00——
BetVictor1.176.5012.00——
Betfred1.206.0011.00——
Paddy Power1.186.5015.00——
SkyBet1.206.2512.00——

Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.

Recent matches

Sp Lisbon

10.30 DCasa Pia0-2 G
10.25 EAcademico Viseu1-2 M
10.09 DSp Braga1-3 G
09.19 EArouca2-2 B
09.13 DFamalicao1-1 B

Nacional

11.01 DArouca1-0 M
10.25 ESp Braga1-0 G
10.11 DRio Ave3-2 M
09.19 EFamalicao0-4 M
09.12 EAlverca1-3 M

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sp Lisbon vs Nacional?

Our model gives sp lisbon win a 83% chance; the draw is 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Expected goals Sp Lisbon 2.94 – 0.63 Nacional.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 is 69%, under 31%. Over 1.5 88%, over 3.5 46%.

What is the Sp Lisbon vs Nacional head-to-head record?

In the last 8 meetings Sp Lisbon won 8, Nacional won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 38% of them.

How reliable is this prediction?

Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.

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