Nacional vs Estrela Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 30 August 2026 17:30 · Final score 2-3. Our prediction: Nacional win (40%) · odds 2.40. Most likely pick Under 3.5 75% (odds ~1.36). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Nacional 1.36 – 1.15 Estrela
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 10%0-0 9%0-1 9%2-1 9%
Nacional vs Estrela head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nacional 1 wins, 1 draws, Estrela 3 wins. 2.4 goals per game, both teams scored in 40%, over 2.5 in 20%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Estrela | 2-3 | Estrela won |
| 2026-04-04 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Estrela | 2-0 | Nacional won |
| 2025-11-09 | Primeira Liga | Estrela – Nacional | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2025-04-06 | Primeira Liga | Nacional – Estrela | 0-1 | Estrela won |
| 2024-11-10 | Primeira Liga | Estrela – Nacional | 2-0 | Estrela won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.06 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| Bet&Win | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.88 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nacional vs Estrela?
Our model gives nacional win a 40% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 53%. Expected goals Nacional 1.36 – 1.15 Estrela.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 46%, under 54%. Over 1.5 71%, over 3.5 25%.
What is the Nacional vs Estrela head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings Nacional won 1, Estrela won 3 and 1 were drawn, with 2.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in 40% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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