Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Odds
Championship · 29 August 2026 14:30 · Final score 0-3. Our prediction: Derby win (41%) · odds 2.44. Most likely pick Under 3.5 76% (odds ~1.31). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Derby 1.38 – 1.15 Swansea
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 10%2-1 9%0-0 9%0-1 9%
Derby vs Swansea head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Derby 2 wins, 1 draws, Swansea 5 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 62%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Championship | Derby – Swansea | 0-3 | Swansea won |
| 2026-02-14 | Championship | Derby – Swansea | 2-0 | Derby won |
| 2025-11-25 | Championship | Swansea – Derby | 1-2 | Derby won |
| 2025-04-05 | Championship | Swansea – Derby | 1-0 | Swansea won |
| 2024-11-27 | Championship | Derby – Swansea | 1-2 | Swansea won |
| 2022-04-09 | Championship | Swansea – Derby | 2-1 | Swansea won |
| 2021-10-02 | Championship | Derby – Swansea | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2021-05-01 | Championship | Swansea – Derby | 2-1 | Swansea won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.44 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.14 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| Bet&Win | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Swansea?
Our model gives derby win a 41% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Expected goals Derby 1.38 – 1.15 Swansea.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 46%, under 54%. Over 1.5 72%, over 3.5 24%.
What is the Derby vs Swansea head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Derby won 2, Swansea won 5 and 1 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Derby predictions and form
- Swansea predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 29 August 2026
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