Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Odds
La Liga · 28 August 2026 22:30 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Villarreal win (43%) · odds 2.32. Most likely pick Over 1.5 75% (odds ~1.29). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Alaves 1.21 – 1.53 Villarreal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%0-1 9%1-2 9%0-2 8%2-1 7%
Alaves vs Villarreal head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Alaves 3 wins, 3 draws, Villarreal 2 wins. 2.25 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 38%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | La Liga | Alaves – Villarreal | 1-0 | Alaves won |
| 2026-03-13 | La Liga | Alaves – Villarreal | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2026-01-10 | La Liga | Villarreal – Alaves | 3-1 | Villarreal won |
| 2025-03-08 | La Liga | Alaves – Villarreal | 1-0 | Alaves won |
| 2024-11-09 | La Liga | Villarreal – Alaves | 3-0 | Villarreal won |
| 2024-02-10 | La Liga | Alaves – Villarreal | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2023-10-22 | La Liga | Villarreal – Alaves | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2022-04-30 | La Liga | Alaves – Villarreal | 2-1 | Alaves won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 3.35 | 3.65 | 2.32 | 1.87 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Bet&Win | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.25 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.20 | — | — |
| Betfred | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Villarreal?
Our model gives villarreal win a 43% chance; the draw is 29%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 57%. Expected goals Alaves 1.21 – 1.53 Villarreal.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 52%, under 48%. Over 1.5 75%, over 3.5 28%.
What is the Alaves vs Villarreal head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Alaves won 3, Villarreal won 2 and 3 were drawn, with 2.25 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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