Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Odds
Ligue 1 · 22 August 2026 21:45 · Final score 0-2. Our prediction: Toulouse win (38%) · odds 2.98. Most likely pick Over 1.5 77% (odds ~1.29). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Toulouse 1.43 – 1.31 Lyon
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%1-0 9%2-1 9%1-2 8%0-1 8%
Toulouse vs Lyon head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Toulouse 2 wins, 1 draws, Lyon 5 wins. 2.75 goals per game, both teams scored in 62%, over 2.5 in 75%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Lyon | 0-2 | Lyon won |
| 2026-05-10 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Lyon | 2-1 | Toulouse won |
| 2025-10-05 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Toulouse | 1-2 | Toulouse won |
| 2025-01-18 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Toulouse | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2024-09-29 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Lyon | 1-2 | Lyon won |
| 2024-03-15 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Lyon | 2-3 | Lyon won |
| 2023-12-10 | Ligue 1 | Lyon – Toulouse | 3-0 | Lyon won |
| 2023-04-14 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse – Lyon | 1-2 | Lyon won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.64 | 1.88 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Bet&Win | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.45 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.38 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.38 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.50 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Toulouse vs Lyon?
Our model gives toulouse win a 38% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Expected goals Toulouse 1.43 – 1.31 Lyon.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 52%, under 48%. Over 1.5 77%, over 3.5 30%.
What is the Toulouse vs Lyon head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Toulouse won 2, Lyon won 5 and 1 were drawn, with 2.75 goals per game and both teams scoring in 62% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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