Derby vs Cardiff Prediction & Odds
Championship · 22 August 2026 17:00 · Final score 2-2. Our prediction: Derby win (41%) · odds 2.04. Most likely pick Over 1.5 78% (odds ~1.36). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Derby 1.53 – 1.27 Cardiff
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%2-1 9%1-0 9%1-2 8%0-1 7%
Derby vs Cardiff head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Derby 1 wins, 2 draws, Cardiff 5 wins. 2.38 goals per game, both teams scored in 50%, over 2.5 in 50%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Championship | Derby – Cardiff | 2-2 | Draw |
| 2025-01-25 | Championship | Cardiff – Derby | 2-1 | Cardiff won |
| 2024-09-14 | Championship | Derby – Cardiff | 1-0 | Derby won |
| 2022-05-07 | Championship | Derby – Cardiff | 0-1 | Cardiff won |
| 2022-03-01 | Championship | Cardiff – Derby | 1-0 | Cardiff won |
| 2021-03-02 | Championship | Cardiff – Derby | 4-0 | Cardiff won |
| 2020-10-28 | Championship | Derby – Cardiff | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2020-07-14 | Championship | Cardiff – Derby | 2-1 | Cardiff won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.04 | 3.65 | 4.00 | 2.02 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 2.03 | 1.83 |
| Bet&Win | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.70 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.75 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Derby vs Cardiff?
Our model gives derby win a 41% chance; the draw is 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 58%. Expected goals Derby 1.53 – 1.27 Cardiff.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 53%, under 47%. Over 1.5 78%, over 3.5 29%.
What is the Derby vs Cardiff head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Derby won 1, Cardiff won 5 and 2 were drawn, with 2.38 goals per game and both teams scoring in 50% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
- Derby predictions and form
- Cardiff predictions and form
- Championship predictions and table
- All predictions for 22 August 2026
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