Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction & Odds
Primeira Liga · 16 August 2026 20:00 · Final score 4-0. Our prediction: Arouca win (52%) · odds 2.18. Most likely pick Under 3.5 75% (odds ~1.29). Prediction missed ✗
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arouca 1.62 – 0.92 Moreirense
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%1-0 12%2-0 10%2-1 10%0-0 8%
Arouca vs Moreirense head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Arouca 3 wins, 1 draws, Moreirense 4 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 25%, over 2.5 in 25%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 4-0 | Arouca won |
| 2026-03-21 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Arouca | 0-1 | Arouca won |
| 2025-11-02 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 0-2 | Moreirense won |
| 2025-01-24 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 1-0 | Arouca won |
| 2024-08-18 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Arouca | 3-1 | Moreirense won |
| 2024-03-17 | Primeira Liga | Moreirense – Arouca | 1-0 | Moreirense won |
| 2023-10-27 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 0-1 | Moreirense won |
| 2022-02-26 | Primeira Liga | Arouca – Moreirense | 1-1 | Draw |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.65 | 2.16 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| Bet&Win | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.40 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Betfred | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.40 | — | — |
| Paddy Power | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 | — | — |
| SkyBet | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arouca vs Moreirense?
Our model gives arouca win a 52% chance; the draw is 28%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Expected goals Arouca 1.62 – 0.92 Moreirense.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 47%, under 53%. Over 1.5 71%, over 3.5 25%.
What is the Arouca vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Arouca won 3, Moreirense won 4 and 1 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 25% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Gol beklentisi (xG) verisi yok - bu lig için şut/xG istatistiği toplanmıyor Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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More
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