Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction & Odds
Premier League · 18 May 2026 22:00 · Final score 1-0. Our prediction: Arsenal win (93%) · odds 1.11. Most likely pick Home win 93% (odds 1.11). Prediction was correct ✓
Match result
Both teams to score
Total goals (over)
Expected goals: Arsenal 3.31 – 0.31 Burnley
Most likely scorelines
3-0 16%2-0 15%4-0 13%5-0 9%1-0 9%
Arsenal vs Burnley head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Arsenal 5 wins, 2 draws, Burnley 1 wins. 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 25%, over 2.5 in 25%.
| Date | League | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Premier League | Arsenal – Burnley | 1-0 | Arsenal won |
| 2025-11-01 | Premier League | Burnley – Arsenal | 0-2 | Arsenal won |
| 2024-02-17 | Premier League | Burnley – Arsenal | 0-5 | Arsenal won |
| 2023-11-11 | Premier League | Arsenal – Burnley | 3-1 | Arsenal won |
| 2022-01-23 | Premier League | Arsenal – Burnley | 0-0 | Draw |
| 2021-09-18 | Premier League | Burnley – Arsenal | 0-1 | Arsenal won |
| 2021-03-06 | Premier League | Burnley – Arsenal | 1-1 | Draw |
| 2020-12-13 | Premier League | Arsenal – Burnley | 0-1 | Burnley won |
Bookmaker odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exch. | 1.11 | 13.00 | 32.00 | 1.37 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.09 | 11.00 | 23.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 |
| Bet&Win | 1.11 | 11.00 | 20.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 10.50 | 26.00 | — | — |
| Betfred | 1.10 | 10.00 | 23.00 | — | — |
| Ladbrokes | 1.10 | 11.00 | 19.00 | — | — |
Odds are indicative and can change. Betting loses money; 18+.
Recent matches
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Burnley?
Our model gives arsenal win a 93% chance; the draw is 5%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: no at 66%. Expected goals Arsenal 3.31 – 0.31 Burnley.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 is 70%, under 30%. Over 1.5 87%, over 3.5 49%.
What is the Arsenal vs Burnley head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings Arsenal won 5, Burnley won 1 and 2 were drawn, with 2.0 goals per game and both teams scoring in 25% of them.
How reliable is this prediction?
Confidence: Yüksek. Data complete and in line with the bookmakers. Historically picks we called 80%+ landed about 82% of the time; nothing is guaranteed and betting loses money.
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